One of the most popular comparisons that has been made against online sports betting in recent years, is to the stock market, where assets rise and fall and can be taken advantage of for a major profit if played the right way. However, while the stock market can be hard to predict, playing an NFL game or the NBA could be much easier if the player is able to properly handicap the game and take advantage of the knowledge that is available. Just like when playing the stock market, the most important aspect of playing the sports numbers is to properly manage your money. Similar to stocks, teams will rise and fall depending on different points in time, and by managing your money you can take advantage of this to make a profit.
One of the ultimate betting strategies to do with money management is called positive progression, which is based on betting more when you are winning than win you are losing. This strategy is easy to abuse since you never know when the streak could end, but a simple way to bet more when you are winning is to come up with a slow progression to follow. The positive progression can never be wiped out by a series of losses, so by building on wins, you can make a profit without ever losing your initial capital. Playing on Betonline can be similar to playing the stock market. In the end, it all comes down to managing your money.
One of the most remarkable aspects of sports betting is the idea that some of the most successful gambling systems out there are legitimate and are worth investing hundreds of dollars to purchase. Whether it is $100 or $500, the truth of the matter is that these systems aren’t worth anything, because the majority of them aren’t even real. If a professional claims that they have won 40 of their last 41 wagers, then the fact of the matter is that they don’t need money from anywhere else, because any player that has a winning percentage that strong should have already made an incredible profit.
Anytime a price per head bookmaking winning percentage is listed as being that high, it is usually because it doesn’t exist, as even the best in the world would have trouble hitting those types of numbers. The way in which it works is the professional will bet on the same team regardless of how many times it loses, and continue to double up on them while covering their initial losses with every following wager. For example, if that pro bets on the Detroit Red Wings of the NHL to win a game, and they lose, then the next time the Red Wings play he will double up on the number he risks in order to cover the initial loss and then still make a profit. If they lose again, then he will apply the same formula, until a team as talented as Detroit eventually comes through and wins to make a profit. While they will list that as 1-0 on their system, the reality is that they could have gone 1-3 wagering on the Red Wings before that profit actually comes in.
Posted in NFL | on December 23rd, 2011
While their will always be flaws in different sports betting systems, whether it is the NFL or any other sport, one popular method that emerged several years ago is the “411 system”. Not long ago a professional gambler decided that he had finally come up with the perfect football betting system, which would take in to range a long list of variables that included everything from quarterback play, to defense, to the coaching, and even the weather. Since it was titled the 411 system, it makes sense that it was based on numbers, with a point value assigned to each of the listed variables.
In the time following the invention of the new system, its original creator was able to make thousands of dollars selling his picks, before eventually he passed away. With the original creator gone, it had seemed as though his 411 system would be lost forever, however a handful of his customers were able to figure it out and use it for themselves. The 411 system had operated at around 70-percent when it was first revealed, and that number continued strong in the 2008-09 NFL season when handicapper Allen Eastman and his group were able to post an incredible 23-8 record with it while publishing their own picks. Eastman’s version of the system went 27-13 the next season, and then in 2010-11 it went 21-14-2. While it could take a little while to figure out all of the intricacies of the system, it has remained among the most successful, and with the criteria now published, it makes sense to invest a little time to figure it out and beat the pay head bookies at their own game.
With college football sports betting set to reach a high during bowl season, it makes sense to take whatever advantages are available in order to gain an edge. Bowl game handicapping could take a lot of work for those that haven’t followed one of the conferences all year, like an SEC fan trying to figure out the worth of the Oklahoma State Cowboys depending on the strength of the Big 12, or why the Stanford Cardinal didn’t emerge from the PAC-12 undefeated. While there are many systems that are out there to aid in beating the odds laid out by the pay head bookies, but there are some simple steps that every player should always considering before laying down money.
A quick look at a 10-year stretch before the 2010 bowl games illustrates that some teams are simply due for a letdown, as 41 games saw double-digit spreads with the underdogs prevailing at a 26-14-1 rate against the spread. The fact that the underdogs were so successful when it came to covering wasn’t fluke, but simply a matter of motivation. While most of the favorites probably got caught up in the hype of the media attention, or perhaps lacked motivation after missing out on a bigger bowl, the underdogs were in a position where they had to feel like they needed to prove their merit on the big stage. As such big underdogs, the NCAA football odds basically insinuated that they didn’t have a chance to win and from that perhaps didn’t deserve to be there. When it comes to bowl betting this season, look for the teams that finished strong but aren’t getting enough credit in the spreads. Those are the teams that will come through with something to prove.
It is no secret that in the sports betting community the parlay is among the most popular methods for gambling, particularly in places with legalized, government games such as Pro Line or Sports Picks. In these situations, players can wager as little as $2 on a given parlay, with the chance to win thousands of dollars on each ticket. But while they increase the potential winnings total and make for some fun action when wagering small, large parlays are not an easy bet to win, which is funny considering how often they are called upon. But while to the inexperienced player the parlay can be an easy trap to fall in to, the experts know how to use the parlay to win big.
In situations where there are a couple of pay head teams that the player likes, and a couple of locks on a given night, the parlay can be the perfect way to eliminate “juice” from an equation and win big. For example, if two division leaders are taking on two of the worst teams in the sport, and they come in at an awful number, then the best way to turn bad odds into a big parlay win is to take those two teams and parlay them with another in order to create a situation where if the two locks come through, then that one other team creates a 50-50 chance to win big. The sportsbook reviews will argue that there is no such thing as a “lock”, and while it is true that there are never guarantees, the fact is that the best handicappers are able to consistently find them.
Every year the best in college basketball take the forefront for some of the best teams across the nation, and every year they provide their fans with a show. While that won’t change this season, the sports betting spotlight is bound to be somewhat bigger with the NBA and its players still locked out. When online wagering on the sport at the college level, it is all about the star players and their ability to come up big. With the college basketball season right around the corner, here are two names that you need to know about.
Jared Sullinger, Ohio State Buckeyes
Buckeyes’ fans will be interested to see what Sullinger has in store this season after he led Ohio State with 17.2 points per game and 10.2 rebounds, one of a handful of players in the program’s history that have averaged a double-double throughout the course of the season. The 6-9 forward is expected to have an ever better surrounding cast this year at Ohio State with a talented group that includes William Buford and Aaron Craft, and they should be the top pay head contender from the Big Ten this coming season.
Harrison Barnes, UNC Tar Heels
The Tar Heels surprised more than a few people when they rallied against the conference rival Duke Blue Devils last season in the ACC, and with an impressive returning class and one of the top recruiting groups in the country, they should be bound to take the next step. That returning class is led by Harrison Barnes, who scored 40 in North Carolina’s ACC tournament win over Clemson as a freshman, and should be even better with another year of intertops experience and growth.
For as long as there has been horse racing, there have been sports betting experts looking to capitalize on the sport with fundamental systems and handicapping angles in order to make picking winners more accurate. To this point, none of those systems or angles have ever been exact, but there are certain systems that make the likelihood of picking a winner more accurate.
One way to increase your pay head odds is by looking for a horse that came up short in its last race after a long layoff, or time away from the track. If that horse started strong and then fell short at the end, or started slow but came back to make it close at the end, then perhaps that horse needed a race to get acclimated to the environment. These types of horses are excellent bets to improve in the next race, and if it came close enough in its previous outing, then perhaps it will be ready to win the next one. While it is never easy to find a winner in a big field, another excellent way to increase your odds of winning is to pay attention to the morning lines. If a horse is highly favored and then suddenly its odds drop sharp, then perhaps that is an intertops sign that there is something else going on that could be holding the horse back that has not been revealed. Other factors including a horse that has to change jockeys and a switch in surfaces could be things that hurt a favorite’s chances of winning, so keep an eye on those factors as well. There may never be an exact system that guarantees a winner in horse racing, but by following these easy techniques it should improve the chances of winning.
Unlike in other sports across the board, the NHL has an unparalleled level of parity that makes wagering on regular season games one of the most exciting and opportunistic followings that there is. While a team can win 45 games in a season and make a run at the Stanley Cup finals, that same team can blow a road game against the team sitting in the basement of their respective conference. Thus is the nature of the game, which means that there are important factors to consider when wagering on hockey.
Beyond where they are in the standings and the superstars that they have in their lineups, consider what other notable factors will have an impact. If one team is traveling across the country on short rest then fatigue can become an obvious player, while if another team is playing in consecutive nights they could feel the effects of having to battle the night before. Games played within a specific division could result in unpredictable results, while there are certain teams that always seem to struggle against others. The advantage that NHL pay head handicappers have is the ability to study the intricacies of a game and make wise decisions based on the lines that are laid by books that usually create their lines based on obvious data such as wins and losses. That leaves the door open for players to make a big score if they can find the loopholes in the system, and makes the NHL an intriguing sports betting option.
You may be fishing for ways to make your sports betting account last as the football season is well underway, the baseball playoffs are almost here and hockey will be starting up soon (we’re still not betting on any NBA basketball betting played, although the college game will be fast and furious). Here are a couple of ways to wager your money throughout the season.
Ride It Out
One of the best ways to manage your money is to make the right picks and then get on a hot streak. When you’re on the streak, bet more in order to win more on your earnings, but of course this is difficult to do as you never know when a streak is going to begin or end. You don’t have to go crazy on your bets, just increase your wagers little by little. This is even a system that could help those who play poker sites online, as well as online casino players.
Half It Up
You can also take a bigger risk and start wagering half of your original bet, but you have to decide from the beginning, what is the number of wins that will make me up the ante? Most experts suggest two or three wins, but you have to do what you feel comfortable doing. Both of these systems are called positive progressive systems, and it’s the only way you should bet as you only increase your wagers when you’re winning, and that can be a boost to your online betting account.
Even those who play shark fishing games will likely dabble in some sports betting this fall, especially when it comes to the NFL as football is easily the most popular play in online sportsbooks. Here are a few tips to get you through the season, one that is unique as we had to deal with a lockout and a shortened training camp. However, the basic principles remain the same.
Learn The Rosters
This seems so simple, but especially in a short offseason where many big names switched jerseys or aren’t playing at all. Take, for example, Carson Palmer. If you went into the season thinking he was still a Cincinnati Bengal, well…he technically is, but due to a dispute with the owner, he isn’t playing and the Bengals have a rookie quarterback. Again, it seems simple, but trust us, do you homework this year.
Location
A lot of teams build around their home stadium, and the best example of this right now is Atlanta, a dome team who is picking up offensive weapons as quickly as they can, knowing they play half of their games at home (where they were 8-0 last year in the regular season). Where a game is played will not only affect an outcome, but the total points as well. Basically, it affects all NFL betting lines.
The Injury Report
This is the most important piece of information you’ll read before making your sports betting picks, and you have to be diligent about it, right up to kickoff as last-minute injuries have ruined many a ticket (as well as fantasy football picks). Make sure you know of any possible ailments before heading to your sports betting book.
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